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Statistics Through Sports Simulation: Draft, Track, Analyze · Fantasy Sports Math: Which Stats Actually Predict Winning?

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About This Lesson

Students each run a franchise. They draft a roster of historical players, a simulation engine plays out the season, and then they answer the question that drives the whole unit: why is one player worth more than another?

This bundle includes three parallel activities — baseball, basketball, and football — plus a cross-sport primer on how a simulation engine works. Each is a printable student packet with a teacher guide attached.

The structure is the same in all three: students commit to a drafting theory in writing before they see the player pool, log a handful of team numbers each week, then use league-wide data they collected themselves to grade their own prediction. Baseball takes on batting average versus on-base percentage and slugging. Basketball frames roster building as an allocation problem — 240 player-minutes and one ball — and introduces true shooting percentage and per-36 rates. Football covers positional value, replacement level, and rate stats versus totals, and ends in a data-cited debate.

The sim engine primer turns "how does the computer decide?" into a probability lesson: converting statistics into probabilities, combining two players' rates with the odds-ratio method, probability band tables, and sampling variability. It ends with an unplugged dice version so a class can hand-simulate an inning.

Runs 3–8 weeks. One period to launch, then 15–20 minutes weekly. Students who have never watched a game can do the analysis — sports knowledge helps with the draft, not the math.

The platform is free at pennantchase.com. Class leagues are free; email [email protected] for setup help or bulk student logins.

Resources

Files

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EdBrAIn uses AI to customize lesson resources for your students’ needs.

What a Pick Costs — Football Activity — Pennant Chase.pdf

Activity, Worksheet
August 5, 2026
271.41 KB
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EdBrAIn uses AI to customize lesson resources for your students’ needs.

The 240-Minute Problem — Basketball Activity — Pennant Chase.pdf

Activity, Worksheet
August 5, 2026
256.49 KB
beta
EdBrAIn uses AI to customize lesson resources for your students’ needs.

The Value Draft — Baseball Activity — Pennant Chase.pdf

Activity, Worksheet
August 5, 2026
266.07 KB

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